Tump's Brags Don't Add Up

Donald Trump
Donald Trump

Polling company Rasmussen Reports released a poll Friday indicating President Donald Trump's approval rating hit 50 percent for the first time since April. He trumpeted the mark in a celebratory tweet Friday. Sunday morning, Trump took to Twitter to again to tout the achievement.

"The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50 percent approval rating. That's higher than O's #'s!," Trump tweeted, referring to former President Barack Obama as "O."

The tweet about Obama's polling numbers came after two tweets criticizing the investigations Trump and his associates are under as a witch hunt and highlighting some accomplishments like the nominations of Supreme Court Judge Neil Gorsuch.

So is Trump right? Are his Rasmussen numbers better than Obama's? Let's take a look.

Rasmussen conducts its polls by surveying 500 likely voters by phone per night and the numbers are rolled into a three-day average, then released. CNN reported in April Rasmussen doesn't release information on what it decides is a likely voter and only calls landline telephones, skewing the poll older and more conservative.

Obama's Rasmussen approval ratings began at 62 percent when he first took office in January 2009. Trump had 59 percent in his first January. Trump's approval slid to a low in May of 45 percent before climbing back up to 50 percent in Rasmussen's latest three-day average. The month of June isn't over, so the whole month can't be fully tabulated, but so far he's averaging a 46 percent approval rating, despite the 50 percent spike. Obama in June of his first term had a 54 percent approval rating.

From January until the start of June Obama's approval rating average was 58 percent approval. Trump's in that time had 50 percent approval. Obama's approval rates just before Trump took power were 49 percent, 54 percent, 54 percent and 56 percent in September, October, November and December, respectively.

At points in his presidency, Obama's approval rating using the Rasmussen poll fell below where Trump currently is, so in one sense, you could pull a random period of time in Obama's presidency and Trump's current numbers would be better. Even the beginnings of some years of Obama's presidency had lower approval ratings, but you would have to compare the same start to a year like 2011, Obama's third year in office to Trump's first to make it work. The only way to make Trump's tweet correct is to cherry pick information.

Other polls out right now, paint a much less rosy picture for Trump than Rasmussen. Real Clear Politics which averages various polls had the president at a 40.4 percent approval rating.

According to 538.com, a website that also tracks polls and statistics, the Rasmussen poll typically skews right.


More Related News

Trump backs off Afghan withdrawal, lambasts Pakistan
Trump backs off Afghan withdrawal, lambasts Pakistan

"My instinct was to pull out" Trump admitted as he spoke of frustration with a war that has killed thousands of US troops and cost US taxpayers trillions of dollars. While Trump refused to offer detailed troop numbers, senior White House officials said he had already authorized his defense secretary to deploy up to 3,900 more troops to Afghanistan. A conflict that began in October 2001 as a hunt for the 9/11 attackers has turned into a vexed effort to keep Afghanistan's divided and corruption-hindered democracy alive amid a brutal Taliban insurgency.

Anger over rally violence boils over in Charlottesville
Anger over rally violence boils over in Charlottesville

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (AP) - Anger boiled over at the first Charlottesville City Council meeting since a white nationalist rally in the city descended into violent chaos, with some residents screaming and cursing at councilors Monday night and calling for their resignations.

'That's too bad': Donald Trump criticised for response to news ten sailors missing, five injured after US warship collides with oil tanker near Singapore
'That's too bad': Donald Trump criticised for response to news ten sailors missing, five injured after US warship collides with oil tanker near Singapore

Ten US sailors were missing after a US destroyer collided with an oil tanker in southeast Asia, the second serious accident involving American Navy ships in the region in little more than two months. Returning to the White House on Sunday night, President Donald Trump responded to reporters' questions about the accident by saying: "That's too bad." Strongly criticised on social media for his response, he later tweeted: "Thoughts & prayers are w/ our @USNavy sailors aboard the #USSJohnSMcCain where search & rescue efforts are underway." Search and rescue efforts were launched  after the USS John S McCain was involved in a collision with the Alnic MC east of Singapore and the...

US military leaders await Trump decision on Afghan mission
US military leaders await Trump decision on Afghan mission

CAMP MOREHEAD, Afghanistan (AP) - Signaling that the U.S. military expects its mission to continue, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan on Sunday hailed the launch of the Afghan Army's new special operations corps, declaring that "we are with you and we will stay with you."

Pence on message, despite Trump
Pence on message, despite Trump's troubles at home

The day after President Donald Trump sparred with reporters on live television over assigning blame for violence at a white supremacist rally, White House aides were stunned, advisers were whispering their ...

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with *

Cancel reply


Top News: Latin America

Hit "Like"
Don't miss any important news
Thanks, you don't need to show me this anymore.